@chabawamba Based sa data ng myimmitracker, same na same ang case sa 190 ng 489, wala pang grants ng mga lodgement date after nov 30. 91 cases ang naka lodge/co contact status ng prior to nov 30 tapos ang average grant rate per month is around 30, so kung magtutuloy yung trend hanggang next 2 months, yung mga nasa december magsisimula na siguro magprocess either end of april or early may. Pero disclaimer, based lang to sa myimmitracker.
@RamDas108 sorry mali pala yung sinabi ko na 5 months magstart ang processing. Yung start is after 3 months and around 20-30% average sa 1st month. After 5 months, 75% ng applicants ang napprocess (edit:this is at least true for May-Oct 2018 visa lodges).
Based on march data, eto ang grant rate for 190:
Apr-92%
May-93%
Jun-89%
Jul-94% (low number lodges)
Aug-85%
Sep-81%
Oct-76%
Nov-29%
Most likely, ang december magsstart same lang din ng estimate ko sa 489 which is end of april or early may. Although medyo duda ako kasi 200+ applicants pa kasi prior to nov 30 ang hindi pa napoprocess so masmalaki ang backlog ng 190. Pero who knows, baka magbago uli... based lang kasi sa data tong info ko. Ang prediction ko sa sarili ko is around June pa ang earliest grant ko assuming masama ako sa unang batch na ipoprocess for January.