#copied
An analysis of 190 visa grants after December’s FOI report:
After December 2024's FOI data was released, 13,848 grants quota is left for 190 for this FY.
Total number of grants given so far, every month in FY 2024-2025:
July: 4,180
August: 3,746
September: 3,231
October: 3,431
November: 2,519
December: 2,045
Total= 19,152.
The Migration Planning Level for 190 (grants quota) for this FY is 33,000.
33,000-19,152= 13,848 grants remaining.
Remove 20% for priority occupations: 0.2*13,848=2,770
The remaining grant quota is 13,848-2770=11,078 for this FY.
Visa applications on hand according to month-by-month lodgments:
May 2023 is 2,162
June 2023 is 4,879
Jan 2022-April 2023 is 647
Total: 7,688
Assuming 90% of this 7,688 is granted (6,920) since there are always some leftovers carried forward due to reasons like complex cases, we are left with 4,158 grants (11,078-6920)
Visa applications on hand according to month-by-month lodgments for FY 2023-2024
July 2023 is 1,087
August 2023 is 472
September 2023 is 1,465
October 2023 is 1,151
The total for these four months is 4,175
This is where the grants could end for this FY
The remainder of October 2023 and November 2023 would resume from July 2025.
Note: data for lodgments taken from the December 2024 FOI report.