#copied
SUBCLASS 190: Planning Levels and State Allocation
Lets look at what happened this FY (2023-24)
• Total Visa Backlog as at 31 July 2023: 48,643 (from an FOI)
• We can assume around 2000 visa lodgements in July 2023 from invites issued in May and June 2023.
• Therefore Total Visa Backlog as at 30 June 2023: 46, 643 (we entered FY2023-24 with this backlog)
• Planning Level for FY2023-24 = 30,400
• State Allocation for FY2023-24 = 10,300
So, we entered this FY with a visa backlog of 46,643 (primary+secondary).
The total number of grants planned for this FY were 30,400 (primary+secondary). So the backlog was almost 1.5 times compared to the Planning Level.
Despite the above, States were allocated 10,300 new nomination places (primary applicants). This translates to:
10,300 X 1.8 (approx. family size) = 18540 new visa lodgements
🇦🇺Whats happening coming FY?
Planning Level for FY2024-25: 33000
Approx. Expected Backlog as at 30 June 2024:
(46643 last backlog + 18540 new lodgements - 30,400 grants during FY as per planning level) = 34,782 (primary+secondary)
🍏 Conclusion:
FY2023-24, we entered FY with backlog (42643) = 1.5 X Planning Level (30,400) and still received 10,300 new state allocations.
This FY looks much better.
We are entering new FY with backlog (34,782) which is about the same as the FY2024-25 Planning Level (33,000).
🚨What does this means for State Allocations ?
One can expected it to be higher than this FY:
can be upto 50% higher = 10,300 X 1.5 ~= 15K places (primary)
Open to thoughts, opinions, discussions 🙂
P.S. Government is trying to reduce migration intake overall, we have seen the projected levels for coming years. Regardless, we are entering coming FY in a much healthy state than we entered last FY.
— with Saaheb Chadha.
