Are you Waiting for an Invite this FY 2023-2024?

Ozdrims · April 4

Caveat: WA and NT close na sila

Total seats remaining for 190 =1590
Total seats remaining for 491 = 1234

Ozdrims · April 6

Probability Getting an invite for 190 NSW with AI - this what came out for a Civil Engineer -hopeful for an invite assuming he has all the optimum qualities NSW is looking for with a limited slots of invites sent to CEs at 10% of total (assumed) , assumed at 80 slots at 800 total invites , lets say they issue invites at one go.There are 90000 applicants (overall) EOIs in NSW pool ,with estimated CEs with assumed 500 people qualified with max experience ,high points and Superior English

Certainly! Let’s calculate the probability for a Civil Engineer to receive an invitation for the Skilled Nominated Visa (Subclass 190) in New South Wales (NSW).

Given:

Total number of applicants in NSW: 90,000
Invites sent for Civil Engineers: 80 (10% of total slots)
Qualified applicants with high points, max experience, and superior English for Civil Engineers: 500
Probability of an invite for Civil Engineers (X1):
The chance of an invite being sent to a Civil Engineer is 10%.
We’ll assume that the 80 slots are filled by Civil Engineers.
Therefore, the probability of a Civil Engineer being invited is: [ \text{Probability of Civil Engineer invite} = \frac{X1}{90,000} = \frac{0.10 \times 80}{90,000} ]
Probability of meeting criteria (X2):
We’ll assume that all 500 applicants with high points, max experience, and superior English are eligible for the subclass 190.
Therefore, the probability of an applicant meeting these criteria is: [ \text{Probability of meeting criteria} = \frac{X2}{90,000} = \frac{500}{90,000} ]
Overall probability for a Civil Engineer to get an invite:
Since the 80 slots are already allocated to Civil Engineers, we’ll consider the remaining applicants.
The overall probability is the product of the probabilities calculated above: [ \text{Overall Probability} = \text{Probability of Civil Engineer invite} \times \text{Probability of meeting criteria} ]
Now let’s calculate the values:

[ \text{Probability of Civil Engineer invite} = \frac{0.10 \times 80}{90,000} = 0.0000889 ] [ \text{Probability of meeting criteria} = \frac{500}{90,000} = 0.00556 ]

[ \text{Overall Probability} = 0.0000889 \times 0.00556 = 0.000000494 ]

Therefore, the overall probability for a Civil Engineer to receive an invitation in a round is approximately 0.0000494%. Keep in mind that this is an estimation based on the given assumptions, and actual numbers may vary.

Consider how lucky you are if you get invited in the next round!

So please don't waste a pre-invite you received - as it may never come again.

casssie · April 7

@casssie said:

may the odds be ever in your favor 🙏✨✨✨

MidnightPanda12 · April 7

@Ozdrims said:
To add to @PHauw , they also presented the sectors in which have some note on (491 specific for AGRI sector) and 491 Pathway 1 threshold for employment criteria is reduced from 12 months to 6 months!

1) Agricultural professionals will get invited through 491 in short. @MidnightPanda12 fyi

2) And also to be considered as a decision ready application - get your documents valid at least 5 business days before and after getting invited:
Nomination documents are the following:
-Skills Assessment
-Skilled employment assessed by assessing body (ACS in case of ICT professionals)
-English language test ( primary and secondary applicants)
-Passport (Main applicant)
-CCL ,NAATI (if applicable)

3) 491 is on top of the pile (priority processing ) based on the MD105 and confirmed during Q&A portion of the meeting

4) Nominations will end by June 2024 , this is also mentioned in the presentation

Good Luck!

Thank you for giving us hope.

Sana nga po mahagip ako sa Agri invites since sobrang kaunti lang namin sa profession sana masilip. 491 or 190 kung ano ibigay mahalaga ma invite. ❤️❤️

Ozdrims · April 8

Top 30 for NSW

( CLOSED EOIS - are combined compilation of granted,refused,withdrawn data of EOIs in Skill Select )

Ozdrims · April 15

April 3 Seminar Recap: Detailed Answers to Your Skilled Migration Questions
15/04/2024
The purpose of this seminar was to provide information to assist businesses and potential migrants to better understand the NSW Skilled Migration Program and how NSW can support skilled migration for regional NSW. The Department of Home Affairs provided information on other visa pathways that are available to employers to fill vacant positions when local workers are not available, and the Migration Institute of Australia was a key participant to answer any other relevant matters. Please see below some answers to questions we were unable to respond to during the webinar.

Questions to Investment NSW
What trades fall within NSW's infrastructure target sector?
In New South Wales, the infrastructure sector encompasses a broad spectrum of trade occupations, reflecting the sector's integral role in supporting the state's economic and societal development. This includes but is not limited to, construction trades, electrical trades, plumbing, carpentry, and civil engineering professions. These occupations are pivotal in planning, developing, and maintaining the essential physical systems that serve the public and businesses alike. However, it is important to recognise the highly competitive nature of obtaining NSW nomination. The demand for nomination significantly exceeds the available allocations, which inherently affects the likelihood of receiving an invitation to apply for NSW nomination.

How does Investment NSW calculate the deemed skilled date for skilled employment? Is this new?

_No, this has not changed. Information about claiming skilled employment for NSW can be found on our Common questions about skilled visas page. _

For subclass 491 Pathway 1 – does the employer need to be based in regional NSW or only the employee?
Yes, the qualifying skilled employment in the 6 months immediately before applying must be with a single regional NSW-based employer working from an established business premises in regional NSW.

Subclass 491 visa conditions – Is a visa holder required to live in the region that nominated them or can they move to other designated regional area?
There is a condition on the subclass 491 visa that restricts the visa holder to live, work and study in a designated regional area. A subclass 491 visa holder that has been nominated by NSW has agreed to live and work in a designated regional area of NSW for a period. The commitment extends to all designated regional areas in NSW.
_
Will Investment NSW prioritise onshore applicants in the near future?
_Currently NSW does not prioritise onshore applicants. The only prioritisation occurs for Expression of Interests with occupations that fall within a NSW target sector.

Are candidates with partners/spouse prioritised over singles?
NSW does not priorities on marital status; however, the Home Affairs points test system awards points for factors such as partner with skills and/or with competent English language proficiency and/or no partner. Refer to the Home Affairs website for information.
_
I have been nominated by NSW for a visa, however I failed to lodge the visa within 60 days, am I eligible for NSW nomination again?
_No, NSW will only nominate an applicant once.

source:
https://www.nsw.gov.au/visas-and-migration/news-and-updates/april-3-seminar-recap-detailed-answers-to-your-skilled-migration-questions

sunkissedbella17 · April 18

cmn · April 19

mukhang malabo na this fy.

good luck sa ating lahat ng mga di pa naiinvite next FY.

focus muna sa work hehe

rmbalingit · April 19

NSW 190 invitation daw ngayon? Check your email!

risukukeito · April 19

Got NSW 190 pre-invite

gwlngrc · April 19

@risukukeito said:
Got NSW 190 pre-invite

woooow. anong occupation po? congrats!!

PHauw · April 19

Received pre-invite for NSW 190

risukukeito · April 19

@gwlngrc said:

@risukukeito said:
Got NSW 190 pre-invite

woooow. anong occupation po? congrats!!

Electrical Engineer ☺️

rmbalingit · April 19

@PHauw said:
Received pre-invite for NSW 190

Congrats! Share your breakdown pls. reference ng ibang waiting. TY!

rmbalingit · April 19

@risukukeito said:
Got NSW 190 pre-invite

Congrats! Share your breakdown pls. reference ng ibang waiting. TY!

PHauw · April 19

@rmbalingit said:

@PHauw said:
Received pre-invite for NSW 190

Congrats! Share your breakdown pls. reference ng ibang waiting. TY!

Thank you!

External Auditor - 221213

Points breakdown:

Age: 30
English: 20
Education: 15
Experience: 10
Single: 10
State: 5

Praying na marami pong invitations dito!

risukukeito · April 19

@rmbalingit said:

@risukukeito said:
Got NSW 190 pre-invite

Congrats! Share your breakdown pls. reference ng ibang waiting. TY!

NSW 190
Electrical Engineer - 90+5 points (offshore)
Age: 30
English: 20
Education: 15
Experience: 15
Single: 10
State: 5

casssie · April 19

yoooown NSW lets gooooo!!!!! congrats sa mga nainvite!!!

samisumi20 · April 19

Congratulations! More invites please! Mabuhay ang mga single. Haha char lang

mathilde9 · April 19

@samisumi20 said:
Congratulations! More invites please! Mabuhay ang mga single. Haha char lang

Exciting!! Mooore please! Yung mga may agent baka later pa maupdate yan. Pakigalaw ang baso...

To follow daw po ang stats from @Ozdrims haha! Responsibility na nya yan dito sa forum.

Sana yung VIC next week magbuhos na din ng remaining invites.

Ozdrims · April 19

Sorry NS tayo , good news yan may invites! Congratulations sa mga bagong imbita ,may newbies na ulit 👏👏👏
@mathilde9 parang automatic na yan ah😜

2Au · April 19

Hello po , i got invited today!
Thank you Lord.
Sna po lhat tau mainvite na 🙏🙏🙏

soufflecake · April 19

@2Au said:
Hello po , i got invited today!
Thank you Lord.
Sna po lhat tau mainvite na 🙏🙏🙏

Yakap sa mga waiting padin ng invite. Sana, tayo naman soon. 🫂🥹

lvnrtnr · April 19

Hello guys, curious lang ako > @2Au said:

Hello po , i got invited today!
Thank you Lord.
Sna po lhat tau mainvite na 🙏🙏🙏

congrats!!

Ano po occupation and points break down please. Thank youuu.

casssie · April 19

@2Au said:
Hello po , i got invited today!
Thank you Lord.
Sna po lhat tau mainvite na 🙏🙏🙏

congrats!!!!

what occupation? paki share din ng points breakdown please. bilang mga statistician kami dito! haha

2Au · April 19

Electrical Engineering Technician.
Age: 25
English: 20
Educ: 15
Experience: 15
Naati: 5
Partner: 5
State: 5
Total: 90

Ozdrims · April 19

@2Au said:
Electrical Engineering Technician.
Age: 25
English: 20
Educ: 15
Experience: 15
Naati: 5
Partner: 5
State: 5
Total: 90

Congratulations 🥳

MidnightPanda12 · April 19

Wala pa rin Agri Invites? 🥲🥲

Waiting for the silver email 🤣

Congrats sa mga nainvite!! 🥳🥳

2Au · April 19

@Ozdrims said:

@2Au said:
Electrical Engineering Technician.
Age: 25
English: 20
Educ: 15
Experience: 15
Naati: 5
Partner: 5
State: 5
Total: 90

Congratulations 🥳