GSM Invitation Rounds and Grants Discussions 189/190/491/186 /191 FY 24~25

Ozdrims

Updated Processing Times for 189,190,491 SNR , 491 FSR

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Ozdrims

Ozdrims

lunabell013

hello po, sa recent na na invite for 189 or 190 (NSW/VIC)
need po ba ng settlement funds or any proof of funds and how much po?

gusto ko po sana mag loan para incase na may invite na hindi po masayang. matagal din po kasi process ng loan.

thanks po!

Ozdrims

@lunabell013 said:
hello po, sa recent na na invite for 189 or 190 (NSW/VIC)
need po ba ng settlement funds or any proof of funds and how much po?

gusto ko po sana mag loan para incase na may invite na hindi po masayang. matagal din po kasi process ng loan.

thanks po!

Wala naman po settlement funds na kakailanganin with 189 same with 190/491 NSW and VIC

Meron lamang settlement declaration sa QLD ,ACT and NT afaik

lunabell013

@Ozdrims said:

@lunabell013 said:
hello po, sa recent na na invite for 189 or 190 (NSW/VIC)
need po ba ng settlement funds or any proof of funds and how much po?

gusto ko po sana mag loan para incase na may invite na hindi po masayang. matagal din po kasi process ng loan.

thanks po!

Wala naman po settlement funds na kakailanganin with 189 same with 190/491 NSW and VIC

Meron lamang settlement declaration sa QLD ,ACT and NT afaik

thank you po! ☺️

Ozdrims

Grants as per FOI data available

Particularly in the month of July 23 for 491 and 190

July is a prime month for grants - decreasing backlog and making way for new invites!

Ozdrims

190 Grant Allocations for incoming FY is 33,000

Back log as at Apr 2024 close to 37,000

Ozdrims

Expected backlog by June 2024 for the same is 34000

Ozdrims

They will still give invites as it is a cycle - one gets to be invited in a year and gets granted next year - given the same settings and grants are graduated for non-prio.

Ozdrims

These includes 189 and 491 backlogs as at Apr 2024

schrodingers_cat

@Ozdrims said:
Expected backlog by June 2024 for the same is 34000

This means po ba na magkakaroon pa ng around 3k grants before july 1, kaya bababa from 37k to 34k?

Ozdrims

@schrodingers_cat said:

@Ozdrims said:
Expected backlog by June 2024 for the same is 34000

This means po ba na magkakaroon pa ng around 3k grants before july 1, kaya bababa from 37k to 34k?

There are a few grants made from May to June and a few more invites. Malalaman natin exactly if may FOI to DHA , but i saw one migration geek estimated it na by Jun 24 will see 34k backlog.

Ozdrims

@schrodingers_cat

Heto Analysis nya

SUBCLASS 190: Planning Levels and State Allocation

Lets look at what happened this FY (2023-24)

• Total Visa Backlog as at 31 July 2023: 48,643 (from an FOI)

• We can assume around 2000 visa lodgements in July 2023 from invites issued in May and June 2023.

• Therefore Total Visa Backlog as at 30 June 2023: 46, 643 (we entered FY2023-24 with this backlog)

• Planning Level for FY2023-24 = 30,400

• State Allocation for FY2023-24 = 10,300

So, we entered this FY with a visa backlog of 46,643 (primary+secondary).

The total number of grants planned for this FY were 30,400 (primary+secondary). So the backlog was almost 1.5 times compared to the Planning Level.

Despite the above, States were allocated 10,300 new nomination places (primary applicants). This translates to:
10,300 X 1.8 (approx. family size) = 18540 new visa lodgements

🇦🇺Whats happening coming FY?

Planning Level for FY2024-25: 33000

Approx. Expected Backlog as at 30 June 2024:

(46643 last backlog + 18540 new lodgements - 30,400 grants during FY as per planning level) = 34,782 (primary+secondary)

🍏 Conclusion:

FY2023-24, we entered FY with backlog (46643) = 1.5 X Planning Level (30,400) and still received 10,300 new state allocations.

This FY looks much better.

We are entering new FY with backlog (34,782) which is about the same as the FY2024-25 Planning Level (33,000).

🚨What does this means for State Allocations ?

One can expected it to be higher than this FY:

can be upto 50% higher = 10,300 X 1.5 ~= 15K places (primary)

Open to thoughts, opinions, discussions

P.S. Government is trying to reduce migration intake overall, we have seen the projected levels for coming years. Regardless, we are entering coming FY in a much healthy state than we entered last FY.

Ozdrims

@schrodingers_cat

Heto naman for 491:

SUBCLASS 491: Planning Levels and State Allocation

Lets look at what happened this FY (2023-24)

This is a follow up to this post:

https://www.facebook.com/groups/australiavisagrants/permalink/1091280025297486/

Backlog as at 31 July 2023: 43051 (old FOI)

Estimate at 30 June 2023: 42000 (assuming net 1000 lodged in July 2023 based on May/June invites)

FY2023-24 Planning Level: 32300

Estimated 491 Family size: 2.5

FY2023-24 State Allocation: 6400 (which equates to 6400X2.5 Family size = 16000 new lodgements)

We entered FY2023-24 with ~43K visa backlog which was around 1.35 times the FY2023-24 planning level (32300). We still got 6400 new state nomination places.

🚨 FY2024-25 Planning Level = 33000

Expected Backlog at 30 June 2024:

(42000+16000-32300) = 25700 (Only 0.8 times that of planning level of 33000)

🚨 Conclusion:

We entered FY2023-24 with backlog 1.35 times the FY2023-24 planning level, but we are entering FY2024-25 with backlog only 0.8 times its planning level.

Expect higher state allocation for coming FY, potentially 1.5X to 2X of this FY (10000 to 12000 nomination places)

Thoughts and opinions welcome in comments

Ozdrims

190 Backlog as of 30 Apr 2024

Per States and Applicant type

Ozdrims

copied

🚨 When will the 190/491 rounds start ?
Many have asked this question. I can offer you the earliest set of pre-invites from current FY. Hope this helps.

casssie

PSA

Ozdrims

24 Jun 2024

Systems maintenance 30 June - 01 July 2024

​​​​We will be doing systems maintenance on some of our online systems from 2 pm (AEST) Sunday 30 June 2024 to 9​ am (AEST) Monday 1 July 2024.

While we are making these changes, the following online services may not be available:

ImmiAccount
eLodgement (online visa and citizenship applications)
My Health Declarations (MHD) service
eMedical
Visa Entitlement Verification Online (VEVO)
LEGENDcom
Australian Trusted Trader
Employment Suitability Clearances
Detention Visitor Application
APEC Business Travel Card (ABTC)
Humanitarian Entrants Management System (HEMS)
Adult Migrant English Program Reporting and Management System (ARMS)
Education Provider Report (eBIT)
Visa Pricing Estimator
MSI Register
Australian Migration Status (AMS) Training Portal
Online Payment Portal
Registration Gateway.
If you get a 'Service Temporarily Unavailable' error message during this time, please try again after the outage period.

Please make sure you lodge your next visa application before 2 pm on Sunday 30 June 2024 if:

your current visa expires on 30 June 2024, and
you plan to stay in Australia.
We apologise for any inconvenience.

Ozdrims

Sa mga SV ma mag aapply ng 485 visas before 1 July apply na nang maaga or those who wish na mag extend before 30 June ,apply na kayo the earliest .